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Ci gaban Brazil ya jagoranci Latin Amurka

A duk faɗin yankin Latin Amurka, haɓakar GDP ya kusan faɗi sama da kashi 2%, a cewar ECLAC.

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Charles W. Thurston, Wakilin Latin Amurka03.31.25

Ƙarfin buƙatun Brazil na fenti da kayan shafa ya ƙaru da ƙaƙƙarfan 6% a lokacin 2024, wanda da gaske ya ninka babban kayan cikin gida na ƙasa. A cikin shekaru da suka gabata, masana'antar yawanci ta zarce haɓakar GDP da kashi ɗaya ko biyu cikin ɗari, amma a bara, rabon ya haɓaka, a cewar wani rahoto na baya-bayan nan na Abrafati, Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.

"Kasuwar fenti da kwalliyar Brazil ta ƙare 2024 tare da tallace-tallacen rikodi, wanda ya zarce duk hasashen da aka bayar a tsawon lokacin shekara. Takin tallace-tallace ya kasance mai ƙarfi a duk tsawon shekara a duk layin samfuran, yana tura jimlar adadin har zuwa lita biliyan 1.983 - lita miliyan 112 fiye da shekarar da ta gabata, wanda ke wakiltar haɓakar 6.0% - topping ko da 1% na 5.2% masana'antu," in ji Fabio Humberg, darektan Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, a cikin imel zuwa CW.

Humberg ya ce "Ƙarar 2024 - na kusan lita biliyan 2 - yana wakiltar sakamako mafi kyau a cikin jerin tarihi kuma ya riga ya sanya Brazil ta zama ƙasa ta huɗu mafi girma a duniya, ta wuce Jamus," in ji Humberg.

Ci gaban Yanki Kusan Flat

A duk faɗin yankin Latin Amurka, haɓakar GDP ya kusan daidaita da sama da kashi 2 cikin ɗari, a cewar Hukumar Tattalin Arziki ta Majalisar Dinkin Duniya don Latin Amurka da Caribbean (ECLAC). "A cikin 2024, tattalin arzikin yankin ya faɗaɗa da kimanin 2.2%, kuma don 2025, ana hasashen ci gaban yanki zuwa 2.4%," in ji manazarta Sashen Ci gaban Tattalin Arziƙi na ECLAC a cikin Bayanin Farko na Tattalin Arzikin Latin Amurka da Caribbean, wanda aka bayar a ƙarshen 2024.

"Yayin da hasashen 2024 da 2025 ke sama da matsakaicin shekaru goma, ci gaban tattalin arziki zai kasance mai rauni. Matsakaicin ci gaban shekara na shekaru goma na 2015-2024 ya kai kashi 1%, wanda ke nuni da koma bayan GDP na kowane mutum a wannan lokacin," in ji rahoton. Ƙasashen yankin suna fuskantar abin da ECLAC ta kira "tarkon ƙarancin ƙarfin haɓaka."

Ci gaban ƙananan yankuna bai yi daidai ba, kuma wannan yanayin yana ci gaba, ECLAC ya nuna. "A matakin subregional, duka a Kudancin Amirka da kuma a cikin rukuni da suka hada da Mexico da Amurka ta tsakiya, yawan ci gaban ya ragu daga kashi na biyu na 2022. A Kudancin Amirka, raguwa ya fi bayyana lokacin da ba a haɗa da Brazil ba, yayin da wannan ƙasa ta ƙaddamar da yawan karuwar GDP na subregional gaba ɗaya saboda girmansa da mafi kyawun aiki; girma yana ƙara dogara ga masu zaman kansu.

Rahoton ya nuna cewa, "Wannan kiyasin raunin raunin da aka yi ya nuna cewa a cikin matsakaicin lokaci, gudummawar da tattalin arzikin kasashen Latin Amurka da Caribbean ke bayarwa ga ci gaban duniya, wanda aka bayyana a cikin kashi dari, zai kusan raguwa," in ji rahoton.

Bayanai da yanayi don mahimman ƙasashe a Latin Amurka suna biye.

Brazil

Haɓakar yawan amfani da fenti da sutura a Brazil a lokacin 2024 an sami goyan bayan haɓakar 3.2% na ci gaban tattalin arzikin ƙasar gaba ɗaya. Hasashen GDP na 2025 yana da hankali, a 2.3%, bisa ga hasashe ta ECLAC. Hasashen Bankin Duniya yana kama da Brazil.

Ta bangaren masana'antar fenti, aikin Brazil ya kasance mai ƙarfi a duk faɗin allon, wanda ɓangaren kera motoci ke jagoranta. Abrafati ya ce "An sami ci gaba a cikin dukkan layin samfura daga masana'antar fenti da sutura [a lokacin 2024], wanda ya fi dacewa a cikin kayan kwalliyar OEM na kera motoci, wanda ya zo kan diddigin karuwar tallace-tallacen motoci," in ji Abrafati.

Siyar da sabbin motocin Brazil da suka hada da motocin bas da manyan motoci sun karu da kashi 14% a cikin 2024 zuwa sama da shekaru 10, a cewar Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Siyar da cikakken shekara ya kai motoci miliyan 2.63 a cikin 2024, wanda ya mayar da ƙasar zuwa matsayi na takwas mafi girma a duniya a cikin kasuwanni, a cewar ƙungiyar. (Duba CW 1/24/25).

Abrafati ya ce "Masu gyaran gyaran motoci kuma sun ga tallace-tallace sun karu da kashi 3.6%, saboda karuwar sabbin tallace-tallacen motoci - wanda ke da tasiri kan tallace-tallacen mota da aka yi amfani da shi da kuma kashe kudi a kan gyare-gyaren da ake tsammani na tallace-tallacen - da kuma babban matakin amincewar mabukaci," in ji Abrafati.

Fanti na ado suma sun ci gaba da nuna kwazon aiki, tare da samun rikodi na lita biliyan 1.490 (sama da kashi 5.9% daga shekarar da ta gabata), Abrafati ya kirga. "Daya daga cikin dalilan da suka haifar da wannan kyakkyawan aikin a cikin fenti na ado shi ne haɓaka wani yanayi na mutane da ke kula da gidajensu, ta yadda za a mai da su wurin jin daɗi, mafaka da walwala, wanda ya kasance tun bayan barkewar cutar," in ji Abrafati.

"Ƙara wannan yanayin shine haɓaka amincewar mabukaci, yayin da masu amfani ke jin cewa suna da babban aiki da tsaro na samun kudin shiga, wanda shine mabuɗin don yanke shawarar kashewa a kan sabon gashin fenti a kan kadarorin su," in ji shugaban zartarwa na Abrafati Luiz Cornacchioni a cikin bayanin kula.

Rufin masana'antu kuma ya sanya haɓaka mai ƙarfi, haɓaka ta shirye-shiryen ci gaban gwamnati waɗanda aka fara a ƙarshen 2023 ƙarƙashin Shugaba Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

"Wani mahimmanci na 2024 shine aikin kayan aikin masana'antu, wanda ya karu da fiye da 6.3% dangane da 2023. Duk sassan layi na masana'antu sun nuna babban ci gaba, musamman godiya ga tallace-tallace mai karfi na mabukaci durables da ci gaba a cikin ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa (ƙarfafa ta dalilai kamar shekarar zaɓe da kwangilar da aka ba wa kamfanoni masu zaman kansu) ".

Samar da ababen more rayuwa shi ne babban abin da gwamnati ta mayar da hankali kan sabon shirin bunkasa ci gaban ci gaban (Novo PAC), shirin zuba jari na dala biliyan 347 da ke da nufin samar da ababen more rayuwa, raya kasa, da ayyukan muhalli, wadanda ke da nufin bunkasa dukkan yankunan kasar nan daidai gwargwado.Duba CW 11/12/24).

"Novo PAC ya ƙunshi haɗin gwiwa mai ƙarfi tsakanin gwamnatin tarayya da kamfanoni masu zaman kansu, jihohi, gundumomi, da ƙungiyoyin jama'a a cikin haɗin gwiwa da himma da himma ga sauye-sauyen yanayi, haɓaka masana'antu, haɓaka tare da haɗin gwiwar zamantakewa, da dorewar muhalli," in ji shafin yanar gizon shugaban.

Manyan 'yan wasa a cikin fenti, sutura da kasuwar adhesives (NAICS CODES: 3255) sun haɗa da waɗannan biyar, a cewar Dunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, wanda ke Guarulhos, jihar Sao Paulo, tare da tallace-tallace na shekara-shekara na dala miliyan 271.85.
• Henkel, mai tushe a Itapevi, jihar Sao Paulo, tare da $140.69 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
• Kashe S/A Tintas e Adesivos, dake Novo Hamburgo, jihar Rio Grande Do Sul, tare da tallace-tallace dala miliyan 129.14.
• Renner Sayerlack, tushen a Sao Paulo, tare da $111.3 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
• Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, wanda ke Taboao Da Serra, jihar Sao Paulo, tare da $93.19 miliyan a tallace-tallace.

Argentina

Argentina, wacce ke makwabtaka da Brazil a cikin kasashen Kudancin Kudancin, tana shirin dawo da babban ci gaba na 4.3% a wannan shekara a kan diddigin kwangilar kashi 3.2% yayin 2024, galibi aiki ne na jagororin tattalin arziki na Shugaba Javier Milei. Wannan hasashe na GDP na ECLAC ba shi da kyakkyawan fata cewa hasashen Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya na ƙimar girma na 5% ga Argentina a cikin 2025.

Ana sa ran lokacin sake girma don gidaje a Argentina zai busa buƙatun fenti da suturar gine-gine (Duba CW 9/23/24). Ɗaya daga cikin mahimman canji a Argentina shine ƙarshen karuwar haya da sarrafa lokacin haya don kasuwar gidaje ta zama. A watan Agusta 2024, Milei ya yi watsi da Dokar Hayar 2020 wanda tsohuwar ta kafa.
gwamnatin hagu.

Gyara ɗakunan da suka koma kasuwannin buɗe ido na iya tabbatar da haɓaka kayan aikin gine-gine zuwa ƙimar kusan dala miliyan 650 a ƙarshen 2027 bayan haɓaka a ƙimar haɓakar shekara-shekara (CAGR) kusan 4.5% a cikin shekaru biyar tsakanin 2022 da 2027, in ji wani bincike da masana'antuARC suka yi.

Manyan kamfanonin fenti da sutura a Argentina, kowane D&B, sun haɗa da:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, tushen a Garín, lardin Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, wanda ke Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, tare da tallace-tallace na $ 116.06 miliyan a kowace shekara.
• Chemotecnica, tushen a Carlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.
• Mapei Argentina, tushen a Escobar, Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.
• Akapol, tushen a Villa Ballester, Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.

Colombia

An yi hasashen farfadowar ci gaban Colombia a 2025 a 2.6% idan aka kwatanta da 1.8% a cikin 2024, a cewar ECLAC. Wannan zai haifar da kyau da farko don
bangaren gine-gine.

"Buƙatar cikin gida za ta zama babban direban ci gaba a cikin shekaru biyu masu zuwa. Amfani da kayayyaki, wanda ya ga wani ɓangare na farfadowa a cikin 2024, zai fadada karfi a cikin 2025 saboda ƙananan kudaden sha'awa da mafi girma na samun kudin shiga," rubuta manazarta a BBVA a cikin Maris 2025 hangen nesa ga kasar.

Haɓaka ababen more rayuwa, wanda ya fara bunƙasa, zai kuma ɗaga buƙatun rigunan masana'antu. Manyan ayyuka, kamar sabon filin jirgin saman Cartegena, an tsara shi don fara gini a farkon rabin 2025.
"Mayar da hankali da gwamnati ta mayar da hankali kan ababen more rayuwa, gami da sufuri, makamashi da ababen more rayuwa (makarantu da asibitoci), za su kasance babban ginshikin dabarun tattalin arziki. Muhimman ayyuka sun hada da fadada hanyoyi, tsarin metro da sabunta tashar jiragen ruwa," in ji manazarta a Gleeds.

"Sashin ayyukan farar hula ya ci gaba da ba da mamaki ta hanyar haɓaka 13.9% a cikin kwata na biyu na 2024 a cikin jerin shirye-shiryen da aka gyara na lokaci-lokaci, biyo bayan kashi biyar a jere na kwangila. Duk da haka, ya kasance sashin da ya fi raguwa a duk tattalin arzikin, yana tsaye 36% a kasa da matakan da aka riga aka yi na annoba, "in ji Gleeds manazarta.

Manyan 'yan wasa a kasuwa kamar yadda D&B suka zaba sune kamar haka:
• Compania Global de Pinturas, mai tushe a Medellin, sashen Antioquia, tare da $219.33 miliyan a cikin tallace-tallace na shekara.
• Invesa, tushen a Envigado, Antioquia, tare da $ 117.62 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
• Coloquimica, tushen a La Estrella, Antioquia, tare da $68.16 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
• Sun Chemical Colombia, tushen a Medellin, Antioquia. tare da $62.97 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
• Masana'antu PPG Colombia, tushen a Itagui, Antioquia, tare da $55.02 miliyan a tallace-tallace.

Paraguay

Daga cikin kasashen Latin Amurka da ake sa ran za su yi girma cikin sauri akwai kasar Paraguay, wadda aka yi hasashen za ta fadada GDPn ta da kashi 4.2 cikin dari a bana, biyo bayan ci gaban da ya samu da kashi 3.9% a bara, in ji rahoton ECLAC.

"GDP a Paraguay an kiyasta ya zama $45 biliyan a karshen 2024 a GDP halin yanzu farashin sharuddan. Neman gaba zuwa 2025, hasashe bayar da shawarar Paraguay ta 2025 GDP kimanta zai iya zama $46.3 biliyan. manazarta.

Ƙananan masana'antu ya ci gaba da kasancewa babban ɓangare na tattalin arzikin Paraguay. "BCP [Babban Bankin Paraguay] yayi kiyasin cewa [2025] zai kasance mai wadata ga masana'antu a Paraguay, tare da mai da hankali kan sashin maquila (taro da kammala samfuran). Hasashen masana'antar gaba ɗaya shine haɓaka 5% "in ji H2Foz, a cikin Disamba 2024.
Sa hannun jari zai kara ba da damar masana'antu a Paraguay.

"Asusun OPEC don Ci Gaban Kasa da Kasa (a cikin Janairu) ya sanar da cewa yana ba da lamuni na dala miliyan 50 ga Paraguay don haɗin gwiwa don gyarawa, haɓakawa da kula da hanyoyin PY22 na ƙasa da hanyoyin shiga cikin sashen arewacin Paraguay na Concepción. An ba da rancen dala miliyan 135 daga CAF (Bankin Ci gaba) E yankin Gabas ta Tsakiya da Caribbean.

Hanyoyi da sabbin gine-ginen otal za su taimaka wa Paraguay ta faɗaɗa masana'antar yawon buɗe ido, waɗanda ke haɓaka cikin sauri, tare da baƙi sama da miliyan 2.2, a cewar wani rahoto daga Sakatariyar Yawon shakatawa na Paraguay (Senatur). "Bayanan, waɗanda aka haɗa tare da haɗin gwiwar Hukumar Kula da Hijira, sun nuna haɓakar 22% na yawan baƙi idan aka kwatanta da 2023," in ji Resumen de Noticias (RSN).

Caribbean

A matsayin yanki, ana sa ran yankin Caribbean zai nuna girma na 11% a wannan shekara, idan aka kwatanta da 5.7% a cikin 2024, a cewar ECLAC (Duba jadawalin hasashen GDP na ECLAC). Daga cikin kasashe 14 da ake la'akari da su a cikin yankin, Guyana ana sa ran za ta nuna rashin ci gaban da ya kai kashi 41.5% a bana, idan aka kwatanta da kashi 13.6 cikin 100 a shekarar 2024, sakamakon karuwar masana'antar mai a tekun da ke can.

Bankin Duniya ya ba da rahoton albarkatun mai da iskar gas na Guyana a “sama da ganga biliyan 11.2 kwatankwacin man fetur, gami da kimanin takubik triliyan 17 na albarkatun iskar gas.” Kamfanonin mai na kasa da kasa da dama na ci gaba da zuba jari mai yawa, wanda ya kai ga fara aikin hako mai a shekarar 2022 a kasar.

Sakamakon iskar kudaden shiga zai taimaka haifar da sabon buƙatu ga duk sassan fenti da sutura. "Yayinda, a tarihi, GDP na Guyana na kowane mutum yana cikin mafi ƙasƙanci a Kudancin Amurka, haɓakar tattalin arziƙin na ban mamaki tun daga 2020, wanda ya kai kashi 42.3% a cikin shekaru uku da suka gabata, ya kawo GDP ga kowane mutum sama da $18,199 a 2022, daga $6,477 a 2019," Duniya.
Rahoton banki.

Manyan ƴan wasan fenti da sutura a cikin yankin, bisa ga binciken Google AI, sun haɗa da:
• Yan wasan Yanki: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, da Royal.
• Kamfanoni na Duniya: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore da Comex.
• Wasu sanannun kamfanoni sun haɗa da RM Lucas Co. da Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.

Venezuela

Kasar Venezuela dai ta kasance kasa ta farko a siyasance a yankin Latin Amurka tsawon shekaru da dama, duk da arzikin mai da iskar gas da kasar ke da shi, a karkashin mulkin shugaba Nicolas Maduro. ECLAC ta yi hasashen cewa tattalin arzikin zai bunkasa da kashi 6.2% a wannan shekara, idan aka kwatanta da 3.1% a shekarar 2024.

Gwamnatin Trump na iya jefa ruwan sanyi kan hasashen ci gaban da aka yi a karshen watan Maris cewa Amurka za ta sanya harajin shigo da kayayyaki kashi 25% kan duk wata kasa da ke shigo da mai na Venezuela, wanda ya kai kusan kashi 90% na tattalin arzikin kasar.

Sanarwar harajin ta zo ne a daidai lokacin da aka soke lasisin kamfanin Chevron na neman da hako mai a ranar 4 ga Maris. "Idan an mika wannan ma'auni ga wasu kamfanoni - ciki har da Repsol na Spain, Eni na Italiya, da Maurel & Prom na Faransa - Tattalin arzikin Venezuela zai iya fuskantar koma baya ga samar da danyen mai, rage rarraba mai, raunin kasuwar musayar waje, rage darajar, da hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki," in ji Caracas Tarihi.

Kamfanin dillancin labarai ya ba da misali da wani gyara na hangen nesa na kwanan nan daga Ecoanalítica, wanda "yana aiwatar da kwangilar kashi 2% zuwa 3% a GDP a ƙarshen 2025, tare da raguwar kashi 20% a fannin mai." Manazarta sun ci gaba da cewa: "Dukkan alamu sun nuna cewa shekarar 2025 za ta fi fuskantar kalubale fiye da yadda ake tsammani da farko, tare da raguwar samar da kayayyaki na gajeren lokaci da raguwar kudaden shigar mai."

Daga cikin manyan masu shigo da mai na Venezuela akwai China, wacce a cikin 2023 ta sayi kashi 68% na man da Venezuela ke fitarwa, a cewar wani bincike na 2024 da Hukumar Kula da Makamashi ta Amurka, rahoton EuroNews. "Spain, Indiya, Rasha, Singapore da Vietnam suma suna cikin kasashen da suke samun mai daga Venezuela, kamar yadda rahoton ya nuna," in ji kamfanin dillancin labarai.

"Amma hatta Amurka - duk da takunkumin da ta kakaba wa Venezuela - tana sayen mai daga kasar, a watan Janairu, Amurka ta shigo da ganga miliyan 8.6 na mai daga Venezuela, a cewar Hukumar Kididdiga, daga cikin kusan ganga miliyan 202 da aka shigo da su a wannan watan," in ji EuroNews.

A cikin gida, har yanzu tattalin arzikin yana mai da hankali kan inganta gidaje, wanda yakamata ya haɓaka buƙatun fenti da suturar gine-gine. A cikin Mayu 2024, gwamnatin Venezuelan ta yi bikin cika shekaru 13 na shirinta na Babban Ofishin Jakadancin (GMVV), tana bikin gida miliyan 4.9 da aka bayar ga iyalai masu aiki, in ji Venezuelanalysis. Shirin yana da burin gina gidaje miliyan 7 nan da shekarar 2030.

Yayin da masu saka hannun jari na Yammacin Turai na iya jin kunya game da haɓaka haɓakawa a Venezuela, bankunan da yawa suna tallafawa ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa, gami da bankin Raya Latin Amurka da Caribbean (CAF).


Lokacin aikawa: Mayu-08-2025