A duk faɗin yankin Latin Amurka, ci gaban GDP ya kusan zama ƙasa da kashi 2%, a cewar ECLAC.
Charles W. Thurston, Wakilin Latin Amurka03.31.25
Bukatar da Brazil ke da ita ta fannin fenti da kayan shafa ta karu da kashi 6% a shekarar 2024, wanda hakan ya ninka karuwar yawan kayayyakin cikin gida na kasar. A shekarun baya, masana'antar ta fi karfin karuwar GDP da maki daya ko biyu cikin dari, amma a bara, rabon ya karu, a cewar wani rahoto na baya-bayan nan da Abrafati ya fitar, kungiyar Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Kasuwar fenti da fenti ta Brazil ta ƙare a shekarar 2024 da tallace-tallace masu yawa, wanda ya zarce duk hasashen da aka bayar a cikin shekarar. Saurin tallace-tallace ya kasance mai ƙarfi a duk tsawon shekarar a duk layin kayayyaki, inda ya tura jimillar adadin zuwa lita biliyan 1.983 - fiye da lita miliyan 112 fiye da shekarar da ta gabata, wanda ke wakiltar ci gaban kashi 6.0% - har ma da kashi 5.7% na shekarar 2021, shekarar da masana'antar ke ɗaukarta a matsayin wacce ba ta da kyau," in ji Fabio Humberg, darektan Abrafati na cibiyar sadarwa ta Abrafati, a cikin wani imel zuwa CW.
"Kudin 2024 - wanda ya kai kusan lita biliyan 2 - yana wakiltar mafi kyawun sakamako a cikin jerin tarihi kuma ya riga ya sanya Brazil ta zama ƙasa ta huɗu mafi yawan samar da kayayyaki a duniya, inda ta zarce Jamus," in ji Humberg.
Ci gaban Yanki Kusan Babba
A duk faɗin yankin Latin Amurka, ci gaban GDP ya kusan daidaita da kashi 2% kacal, a cewar Hukumar Tattalin Arziki ta Majalisar Dinkin Duniya ta Latin Amurka da Caribbean (ECLAC). "A shekarar 2024, tattalin arzikin yankin ya faɗaɗa da kimanin kashi 2.2%, kuma a shekarar 2025, ana hasashen ci gaban yanki zai kai kashi 2.4%," in ji masu sharhi kan ci gaban tattalin arziki na ECLAC a cikin Binciken Farko na Tattalin Arzikin Latin Amurka da Caribbean, wanda aka fitar a ƙarshen 2024.
Rahoton ya lura cewa, "Duk da cewa hasashen 2024 da 2025 ya fi matsakaicin shekaru goma, ci gaban tattalin arziki zai ci gaba da kasancewa ƙasa. Matsakaicin ci gaban shekara-shekara na shekaru goma na 2015-2024 ya tsaya a kashi 1%, wanda ke nuna raguwar GDP na kowane mutum a wannan lokacin." Kasashen yankin suna fuskantar abin da ECLAC ta kira "tarkon ƙarancin ƙarfin ci gaba."
Ci gaban ƙananan yankuna bai daidaita ba, kuma wannan yanayin ya ci gaba, in ji ECLAC. "A matakin ƙananan yankuna, a Kudancin Amurka da kuma a cikin ƙungiyar da ta ƙunshi Mexico da Tsakiyar Amurka, ƙimar ci gaba ta ragu tun daga rabin na biyu na 2022. A Kudancin Amurka, raguwar ta fi bayyana lokacin da ba a haɗa Brazil ba, yayin da wannan ƙasar ke ƙara yawan ci gaban GDP na ƙananan yankuna saboda girmanta da ingantaccen aiki; ci gaban ya dogara ne akan amfani da masu zaman kansu," in ji rahoton.
Rahoton ya nuna cewa "Wannan raunin da aka kiyasta yana nuna cewa a matsakaicin lokaci, gudunmawar tattalin arzikin Latin Amurka da Caribbean ga ci gaban duniya, wanda aka bayyana a cikin kashi-kashi, zai kusan rabi," in ji rahoton.
Bayanai da yanayi na manyan ƙasashe a Latin Amurka suna biyo baya.
Brazil
Karuwar yawan amfani da fenti da fenti a Brazil a shekarar 2024 ya samu goyon bayan kashi 3.2% na ci gaban tattalin arziki a kasar. Hasashen GDP na shekarar 2025 ya yi kasa sosai, a kashi 2.3%, a cewar hasashen ECLAC. Hasashen Bankin Duniya iri daya ne da na Brazil.
Ta ɓangaren masana'antar fenti, aikin Brazil ya yi ƙarfi a duk faɗin ƙasar, wanda ɓangaren kera motoci ya jagoranta. "An samu ci gaba a dukkan fannoni na samfura daga masana'antar fenti da fenti [a cikin 2024], mafi mahimmanci a cikin rufin OEM na motoci, wanda ya zo bayan ƙaruwa mai yawa a cikin tallace-tallacen motoci," in ji Abrafati.
Tallace-tallacen sabbin motoci da suka hada da bas da manyan motoci a Brazil sun karu da kashi 14% a shekarar 2024 zuwa mafi girma na shekaru 10, a cewar Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Tallace-tallacen da aka yi a shekarar sun kai motoci miliyan 2.63 a shekarar 2024, wanda hakan ya mayar da kasar zuwa matsayi na takwas mafi girma a duniya a cikin kasuwanni, a cewar kungiyar. (Duba CW 1/24/25).
"Rufin gyaran mota ya kuma ga karuwar tallace-tallace a kashi 3.6%, saboda karuwar tallace-tallacen sabbin motoci - wanda ke da tasiri kan tallace-tallacen motocin da aka yi amfani da su da kuma kashe kudi kan gyare-gyare a lokacin da ake tsammanin tallace-tallacen - da kuma karfin kwarin gwiwar masu amfani," in ji Abrafati.
Abrafati ya yi lissafin cewa fenti mai ado ya ci gaba da nuna kyakkyawan aiki, inda ya sami lita biliyan 1.490 (ƙara da kashi 5.9% idan aka kwatanta da shekarar da ta gabata). "Ɗaya daga cikin dalilan da suka sa aka samu kyakkyawan aiki a fenti mai ado shine haɗakar yanayin da mutane ke kula da gidajensu, don sanya su wurin jin daɗi, mafaka da walwala, wanda ya kasance tun bayan barkewar cutar," in ji Abrafati.
"Abin da ya ƙara wa wannan yanayin shi ne ƙaruwar kwarin gwiwar masu amfani, yayin da masu amfani ke jin cewa suna da ƙarin aiki da kuma tsaron kuɗin shiga, wanda shine mabuɗin yanke shawarar kashe kuɗi kan sabon fenti a gidajensu," in ji shugaban zartarwa na Abrafati Luiz Cornacchioni a cikin takardar bayanin.
Rufin masana'antu ya kuma sami ci gaba mai ƙarfi, wanda ya karu sakamakon shirye-shiryen ci gaban gwamnati da aka fara a ƙarshen 2023 a ƙarƙashin Shugaba Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Wani abin da ya fi daukar hankali a shekarar 2024 shi ne aikin rufin masana'antu, wanda ya karu da fiye da kashi 6.3% idan aka kwatanta da shekarar 2023. Duk sassan layin rufin masana'antu sun nuna babban ci gaba, musamman godiya ga karuwar tallace-tallace na kayan amfani masu dorewa da ci gaba a ayyukan ababen more rayuwa (wanda abubuwa kamar shekarar zabe da kwangilolin da aka bai wa kamfanoni masu zaman kansu suka karfafa)," in ji Abrafati.
Kayayyakin more rayuwa muhimmin abu ne da gwamnati ta mayar da hankali a kai a shirin gaggawa na sabuwar ci gaba (Novo PAC), shirin saka hannun jari na dala biliyan 347 wanda aka yi niyya don samar da ababen more rayuwa, ci gaba, da ayyukan muhalli, wanda aka yi niyya don bunkasa dukkan yankunan kasar daidai gwargwado (Duba CW 11/12/24).
"Novo PAC ta ƙunshi haɗin gwiwa mai ƙarfi tsakanin gwamnatin tarayya da kamfanoni masu zaman kansu, jihohi, ƙananan hukumomi, da ƙungiyoyin zamantakewa a cikin wani ƙoƙari na haɗin gwiwa don sauye-sauyen muhalli, sabbin masana'antu, ci gaba tare da haɗa kan jama'a, da dorewar muhalli," in ji gidan yanar gizon shugaban ƙasa.
Manyan 'yan wasa a kasuwar fenti, shara da manne (NAICS CODES: 3255) sun haɗa da waɗannan biyar, a cewar Dunn & Bradstreet:
• Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, wanda ke Guarulhos, jihar Sao Paulo, tare da tallace-tallace na shekara-shekara na dala miliyan 271.85.
• Henkel, wacce ke da hedikwata a Itapevi, jihar Sao Paulo, tare da tallace-tallace na dala miliyan 140.69.
• Kashe S/A Tintas e Adesivos, dake Novo Hamburgo, jihar Rio Grande Do Sul, tare da tallace-tallace dala miliyan 129.14.
• Renner Sayerlack, wanda ke zaune a Sao Paulo, tare da tallace-tallace na dala miliyan 111.3.
• Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, wanda ke Taboao Da Serra, jihar Sao Paulo, tare da $93.19 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
Argentina
Argentina, wacce ke makwabtaka da Brazil a tsakanin kasashen Kudancin Cone, tana shirin dawo da karuwar kashi 4.3% a wannan shekarar bayan raguwar kashi 3.2% a shekarar 2024, galibi sakamakon jagorancin tattalin arziki mai tsauri na Shugaba Javier Milei. Wannan hasashen GDP na ECLAC bai yi wani kyakkyawan fata ba game da hasashen da Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya ya yi na karuwar kashi 5% ga Argentina a shekarar 2025.
Ana sa ran sake girman gidaje a Argentina zai ƙara yawan buƙatar fenti da rufin gine-gine (Duba CW 9/23/24Wani muhimmin sauyi a Argentina shine ƙarshen ƙarar haya da kuma ikon kula da lokacin haya ga kasuwar gidaje. A watan Agusta na 2024, Milei ta yi watsi da Dokar Hayar Gida ta 2020 da tsohuwar ta kafa.
gwamnatin hagu.
Gyaran gidajen da suka koma kasuwa a bude zai iya zama wani babban ci gaba ga rufin gine-gine zuwa darajar kusan dala miliyan 650 nan da karshen shekarar 2027 bayan ya karu a adadin karuwar shekara-shekara (CAGR) na kusan kashi 4.5% a cikin shekaru biyar tsakanin 2022 da 2027, a cewar wani bincike da IndustryARC ta gudanar.
Manyan kamfanonin fenti da shafa fenti a Argentina, a cewar D&B, sun haɗa da:
• Akzo Nobel Argentina, tushen a Garín, lardin Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.
• Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, wanda ke Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, tare da tallace-tallace na $ 116.06 miliyan a kowace shekara.
• Chemotecnica, wacce ke Carlos Spegazzini, Buenos Aires, ba a bayyana tallace-tallacenta ba.
• Mapei Argentina, tushen a Escobar, Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.
• Akapol, tushen a Villa Ballester, Buenos Aires, tallace-tallace ba a bayyana ba.
Colombia
An yi hasashen cewa ci gaban da za a samu a Colombia zai karu da kashi 2.6% a shekarar 2025 idan aka kwatanta da kashi 1.8% a shekarar 2024, a cewar ECLAC. Wannan zai yi kyau musamman ga
ɓangaren gine-gine.
"Bukatar cikin gida za ta zama babban abin da ke haifar da ci gaba a cikin shekaru biyu masu zuwa. Yawan amfani da kayayyaki, wanda ya sami ɗan farfadowa a cikin 2024, zai faɗaɗa sosai a cikin 2025 saboda ƙarancin riba da hauhawar kuɗin shiga na gaske," in ji masu sharhi a BBVA a cikin hasashen watan Maris na 2025 ga ƙasar.
Ci gaban kayayyakin more rayuwa, wanda ke fara bunƙasa, zai kuma ɗaga buƙatar rufin masana'antu. Manyan ayyuka, kamar sabon filin jirgin saman Cartegena, an shirya fara ginin a rabin farko na 2025.
"Mayar da hankali kan kayayyakin more rayuwa, ciki har da sufuri, makamashi da kayayyakin more rayuwa na zamantakewa (makarantu da asibitoci), zai ci gaba da zama ginshiƙin dabarun tattalin arziki. Manyan ayyuka sun haɗa da faɗaɗa hanyoyi, tsarin metro da kuma sabunta tashoshin jiragen ruwa," in ji masu sharhi a Gleeds.
"Bangaren ayyukan farar hula ya ci gaba da ba da mamaki ta hanyar ƙaruwa da kashi 13.9% a kwata na biyu na 2024 a cikin jerin gyare-gyaren yanayi, bayan kwata biyar a jere na raguwar tattalin arziki. Duk da haka, ya kasance fannin da ya fi koma baya a cikin dukkan tattalin arzikin, yana tsaye da kashi 36% ƙasa da matakan kafin annoba," in ji masu sharhi na Gleeds.
Manyan 'yan wasa a kasuwa kamar yadda D&B ta tsara sune kamar haka:
• Kamfanin Compania Global de Pinturas, wanda ke da hedikwata a Medellin, sashen Antioquia, yana da tallace-tallace na dala miliyan 219.33 a kowace shekara.
• Invesa, wacce ke Envigado, Antioquia, tare da tallace-tallace na dala miliyan 117.62.
• Coloquimica, tushen a La Estrella, Antioquia, tare da $68.16 miliyan a tallace-tallace.
• Sun Chemical Colombia, wacce ke da hedikwata a Medellin, Antioquia. tare da tallace-tallace na dala miliyan 62.97.
• Kamfanin PPG Industries na Colombia, wanda ke da hedikwata a Itagui, Antioquia, tare da tallace-tallace na dala miliyan 55.02.
Paraguay
Daga cikin ƙasashen Latin Amurka da ake sa ran za su fi samun ci gaba cikin sauri akwai Paraguay, wadda aka yi hasashen za ta faɗaɗa GDP ɗinta da kashi 4.2% a wannan shekarar, bayan ƙaruwar kashi 3.9% a bara, in ji rahoton ECLAC.
"An kiyasta cewa GDP a Paraguay zai kai dala biliyan 45 a ƙarshen 2024 a cikin farashin GDP na yanzu. Idan aka yi la'akari da shekarar 2025, hasashen ya nuna cewa hasashen GDP na Paraguay na 2025 zai iya zama dala biliyan 46.3. Tattalin arzikin Paraguay ya girma a matsakaicin ƙimar ci gaban shekara-shekara na 6.1% a cikin shekaru huɗu da suka gabata kuma an sanya shi a matsayin tattalin arziki na 15 mafi girma a Amurka, fiye da Uruguay," in ji rahoton World Economics, masu sharhi da ke London.
Ƙananan masana'antu na ci gaba da zama babban ɓangare na tattalin arzikin Paraguay. "BCP [Bankin Tsakiya na Paraguay] ya kiyasta cewa [2025] zai yi wadata ga masana'antar a Paraguay, tare da mai da hankali kan ɓangaren maquila (haɗawa da kammala kayayyaki). Hasashen masana'antar gabaɗaya shine ci gaban 5%" in ji H2Foz, a watan Disamba na 2024.
Zuba jari a fannin ababen more rayuwa zai ƙara ba da damar masana'antu a Paraguay.
"Asusun OPEC na Ci Gaban Ƙasashen Duniya (a watan Janairu) ya sanar da cewa yana ba da rancen dala miliyan 50 ga Paraguay don tallafawa gyaran hanya, haɓakawa da kula da hanyar ƙasa PY22 da hanyoyin shiga a sashen arewacin Paraguay na Concepción. An ba da rancen tare da rancen dala miliyan 135 daga CAF (Bankin Ci Gaba na Latin Amurka da Caribbean)," in ji rahoton Tattalin Arziki na Gabas ta Tsakiya.
Sabbin gine-gine da sabbin otal-otal za su taimaka wa Paraguay wajen fadada masana'antar yawon bude ido, wadda ke bunkasa cikin sauri, tare da sama da masu ziyara miliyan 2.2, a cewar wani rahoto daga Sakatariyar Yawon Bude Ido ta Paraguay (Senatur). "Bayanan, wanda aka tattara tare da hadin gwiwar Hukumar Kula da Shige da Fice, sun nuna karuwar masu zuwa yawon bude ido da kashi 22% idan aka kwatanta da shekarar 2023," in ji Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
Caribbean
A matsayin wani yanki na ƙasa, ana sa ran yankin Caribbean zai nuna ci gaban kashi 11% a wannan shekarar, idan aka kwatanta da kashi 5.7% a shekarar 2024, a cewar ECLAC (Duba jadawalin hasashen GDP na ECLAC). Daga cikin ƙasashe 14 da ake ɗauka a matsayin wani ɓangare na yankin, ana sa ran Guyana za ta nuna ci gaban da bai dace ba na kashi 41.5% a wannan shekarar, idan aka kwatanta da kashi 13.6% a shekarar 2024, godiya ga masana'antar mai ta teku da ke faɗaɗa cikin sauri a can.
Bankin Duniya ya bayar da rahoton cewa albarkatun mai da iskar gas na Guyana sun kai "sama da ganga biliyan 11.2 daidai da man fetur, gami da kimanin ƙafa tiriliyan 17 na ma'adinan iskar gas da ke da alaƙa." Kamfanonin mai na ƙasashen duniya da yawa suna ci gaba da yin manyan jari, wanda ya haifar da fara haƙar mai a shekarar 2022 a ƙasar.
Sakamakon karuwar kudaden shiga zai taimaka wajen samar da sabbin buƙatu ga dukkan sassan fenti da fenti. "Duk da cewa, a tarihi, GDP na Guyana ga kowace mutum yana cikin mafi ƙasƙanci a Kudancin Amurka, ci gaban tattalin arziki mai ban mamaki tun daga 2020, matsakaicin kashi 42.3% a cikin shekaru uku da suka gabata, ya kawo GDP ga kowace mutum zuwa sama da dala $18,199 a 2022, daga dala $6,477 a 2019," in ji Duniya
Rahoton banki.
Manyan masu amfani da fenti da fenti a yankin, a cewar wani bincike na Google AI, sun haɗa da:
• 'Yan wasan yanki: Lanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, da Royal.
• Kamfanonin Ƙasashen Duniya: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore da Comex.
• Sauran fitattun kamfanoni sun haɗa da RM Lucas Co. da Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Venezuela
Venezuela ta kasance kasa mai cin gashin kanta a Latin Amurka tsawon shekaru da dama, duk da arzikin mai da iskar gas da kasar ke da shi, a karkashin mulkin Shugaba Nicolás Maduro. ECLAC ta yi hasashen cewa tattalin arzikin zai bunkasa da kashi 6.2% a wannan shekarar, idan aka kwatanta da kashi 3.1% a shekarar 2024.
Gwamnatin Trump na iya yin watsi da hasashen ci gaban tattalin arziki, inda sanarwar da aka fitar a karshen watan Maris ta ce Amurka za ta sanya harajin shigo da kaya da kashi 25% ga kowace kasa da ke shigo da man fetur daga Venezuela, wanda ya kai kimanin kashi 90% na tattalin arzikin kasar.
Sanarwar harajin ta zo ne bayan soke lasisin Chevron na nemo da kuma samar da mai a ƙasar a ranar 4 ga Maris. "Idan aka fadada wannan matakin ga wasu kamfanoni - ciki har da Repsol na Spain, Eni na Italiya, da Maurel & Prom na Faransa - tattalin arzikin Venezuela zai iya fuskantar koma baya sosai a samar da danyen mai, raguwar rarraba mai, raguwar kasuwar musayar kuɗi ta ƙasashen waje, raguwar farashi, da hauhawar farashin kaya," in ji Caracas Chronicles.
Ƙungiyar labarai ta ambaci wani gyara na hangen nesa kwanan nan daga Ecoanalítica, wanda "ya yi hasashen raguwar GDP da kashi 2% zuwa 3% nan da ƙarshen 2025, tare da raguwar kashi 20% a ɓangaren mai." Masu sharhi sun ci gaba da cewa: "Duk alamu sun nuna cewa 2025 zai fi wahala fiye da yadda aka zata a farko, tare da raguwar samar da kayayyaki na ɗan gajeren lokaci da raguwar kuɗaɗen shigar mai."
Daga cikin manyan masu shigo da man fetur na Venezuela akwai China, wacce a shekarar 2023 ta sayi kashi 68% na man da Venezuela ta fitar, a cewar wani bincike na shekarar 2024 da Hukumar Kula da Bayanai kan Makamashi ta Amurka ta gudanar, in ji EuroNews. Rahoton ya nuna cewa, "Spain, Indiya, Rasha, Singapore da Vietnam suma suna cikin kasashen da ke karbar man fetur daga Venezuela," in ji kamfanin dillancin labarai.
"Amma har ma da Amurka - duk da takunkumin da ta kakaba wa Venezuela - ta sayi mai daga wannan ƙasar. A watan Janairu, Amurka ta shigo da ganga miliyan 8.6 na mai daga Venezuela, a cewar Hukumar Kididdigar Jama'a, daga cikin kusan ganga miliyan 202 da aka shigo da su a wannan watan," in ji EuroNews.
A cikin gida, tattalin arzikin har yanzu yana mai da hankali kan inganta gidaje, wanda zai ƙara buƙatar fenti da rufin gine-gine. A watan Mayu na 2024, gwamnatin Venezuela ta yi bikin cika shekaru 13 da shirinta na Babban Gidaje (GMVV), tana bikin cika shekaru 4.9 da aka bai wa iyalai masu aiki, in ji rahoton Venezuelanalysis. Shirin yana da burin gina gidaje miliyan 7 nan da shekarar 2030.
Duk da cewa masu zuba jari na ƙasashen yamma na iya jin kunyar ƙara yawan masu zuba jari a Venezuela, bankunan ƙasashen duniya da dama suna tallafawa ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa, ciki har da bankin ci gaban Latin Amurka da Caribbean (CAF).
Lokacin Saƙo: Mayu-08-2025
